What your money actually earned, after inflation
In a high-inflation economy every investment looks like a winner in nominal lira. This calculator replays your investment through the actual monthly series for exchange rates, gold, the index, deposit rates and consumer prices, then tells you whether it beat inflation or just looked like it did.
Inputs
Verified 22 Aug 2026TCMB, TUIK and market series listed below
Result
When the solid line sits below the dashed one, the investment is losing to inflation even while the lira number grows.
Methodology and sources
Price instruments (dollars, gram gold, BIST 100) are bought at the start-month value and marked at each later month. Deposits compound monthly at the weighted average rate for TRY deposits up to one year, net of the withholding in force in each period (the up-to-six-month bracket applied per period: 5% before May 2024, then 7.5%, 10%, 15%, and 17.5% since July 2025, extended through end-2026; currently 17.5%). The real return deflates the outcome by the CPI index between the two months; the dollar-terms return converts at the start and end month rates.
- TCMB daily indicative FX bulletins: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/kurlar/ (XML archive, USD ForexSelling)
- LBMA Gold Price PM fix official archive: https://prices.lbma.org.uk/json/gold_pm.json
- Yahoo Finance XU100.IS daily history (BIST 100 close): https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/XU100.IS
- TUIK TUFE 2003=100 index table (republished): https://www.hakedis.org/endeksler/tuketici-fiyat-genel-endeksi-ve-degisim-oranlari-2003
- TUIK TUFE 2025=100 index table (for 2026 chaining): https://www.hakedis.org/endeksler/tuketici-fiyat-genel-endeksi-ve-degisim-oranlari-2025
- TCMB EVDS series TP.TRY.MT04, data group bie_mt100h (Interest Rates on Deposits, Weekly Flow, Weighted Average): https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/EN/TCMB+EN/Main+Menu/Statistics/Interest+Rate+Statistics/Weekly/Interest+Rates+on+Deposits+Weekly+Flow/ via https://evds3.tcmb.gov.tr
- Stopaj current regime and extension to 2026-12-31 (CBK 10041 and 11444): https://www.yontemymm.com.tr/mali-aciklamalar/2026-041-tl-mevduat-hesaplarinda-uygulanan-stopaj-oranlarinin-suresi-uzatildi and https://www.grantthornton.com.tr/vergi-sirkuleri/2025-vergi-sirkuleri/mevduat-faizi-ve-yatirim-fonlarinda-stopaj-artisi/
- Stopaj 2024-2025 decree timeline (CBK 8434, 8775, 9075, 9487): https://www.pwc.com.tr/tr/sektorler/bankacilik-sermaye-piyasalari/bultenler/2024/gvk-gecici-67nci-madde-uyarinca-uygulanan-stopaj-oranlarinda-degisiklikler1.html and https://t24.com.tr/yazarlar/murat-bati/haram-faizin-stopajli-vergisi,50665
Historical information only. How these instruments performed says nothing about how they will perform, and nothing here is investment advice.